Here’s a bold statement: The Patriots’ defense just got a massive boost ahead of their primetime clash with the Bills, but it’s not without its complications. And this is the part most people miss—while key players are active, their impact could be limited, setting the stage for a strategic battle that could define the game. Let’s dive in.
Orchard Park, NY – The Patriots are gearing up for a high-stakes showdown against the Bills at Highmark Stadium, and the pre-game news is a mix of relief and intrigue. After being listed as questionable, defensive tackle Milton Williams (ankle) and cornerback Carlton Davis III (illness) are officially active. This is huge for New England’s defense, especially with the reigning MVP, Josh Allen, leading the Bills’ offense. But here’s the catch: Williams’ ankle injury might limit his snaps, and Davis is returning from an illness, leaving questions about their endurance.
On the flip side, the Patriots’ inactives include outside linebacker K’Lavon Chaisson (knee), defensive tackle Eric Gregory, guard Caedan Wallace, wide receiver Efton Chism III, and quarterback Tommy DeVito as the emergency third option. The Bills, meanwhile, will be without defensive tackles Ed Oliver (ankle) and T.J. Sanders (knee), wide receiver Elijah Moore, cornerback Brandon Codrington, free safety Jordan Hancock, outside linebacker Dorian Williams, and offensive tackle Chase Lundt.
Milton Williams: A Game-Changer with a Caveat
Williams, a standout free-agent addition, has been a force alongside Christian Barmore, ranking second among interior rushers in pass-rush win rate (19.2%) with two sacks and 11 total pressures. His presence is critical for a Patriots defense that ranks in the top-10 in both pass-rush and run-stop win rate. However, his limited practice participation this week raises concerns. If Williams isn’t at full strength, the Patriots might lean on situational players like third-year defensive end Keion White, who led all defenders with a 16.2% pressure rate at defensive tackle last season. Additionally, nose tackle Khyiris Tonga and rookie Joshua Farmer could see more action against the Bills’ league-leading rush EPA offense.
Carlton Davis III: The Missing Piece in Pass Defense
Davis’ return is equally significant. In Week 4, the Patriots’ pass defense thrived with Davis and All-Pro cornerback Christian Gonzalez on the field together, allowing just 5.0 yards per pass attempt—a stark contrast to the 9.0 yards per attempt without Gonzalez in Weeks 1-3. The offseason vision of a lockdown duo in man coverage is finally within reach, but Davis’ health will be under the microscope. If he’s not at 100%, the Patriots’ secondary could face another tough test against Allen and his arsenal of receivers.
The Chaisson Void: A Committee Approach?
The loss of Chaisson, who ranks second on the team with 13 total pressures, is a significant blow. His absence creates a void that the Patriots might fill by committee. Anfernee Jennings could be key against the Bills’ outside zone-heavy scheme, while Keion White’s pass-rushing skills could be crucial in pressuring Allen. Linebacker Jahlani Tavai, returning from a calf injury, adds versatility to the front seven, potentially moving around to plug holes as he did in his standout 2023 season.
Offensive Questions: Snap Distribution and Development
On offense, quarterback Drake Maye and his supporting cast are healthy, but snap distribution remains a topic of interest. Rookie left guard Jared Wilson, returning from ankle and knee injuries, will start over veteran Ben Brown, despite Brown’s solid performance last week. Head coach Mike Vrabel emphasized Wilson’s long-term development, but this decision could be tested against the Bills’ formidable defense.
At wide receiver, undrafted rookie Efton Chism III remains a healthy scratch, overshadowed by Stefon Diggs, DeMario Douglas, and third-rounder Kyle Williams. Douglas, once a full-time slot receiver, has seen his role reduced to a motion/gadget threat, playing just eight snaps last week. This raises questions about the Patriots’ receiver hierarchy and Chism’s path to playing time.
The Underdog’s Challenge: Can the Patriots Compete?
The Patriots enter Sunday night’s game as 7.5-point underdogs, facing a Bills team that’s won 14 consecutive home games and five straight AFC East titles. Buffalo’s 4-0 start and league-leading rush EPA make this a daunting task. But New England has embraced the underdog role, understanding that competing with teams like the Bills is essential for their growth under Vrabel.
Controversial Take: Is the Patriots’ Defense Overrated?
Here’s a thought-provoking question: With Williams and Davis potentially limited, and Chaisson out, is the Patriots’ defense being overhyped? While their rankings are impressive, their reliance on key players and situational substitutions could expose vulnerabilities. The Bills’ offense, led by Allen, is the perfect test to reveal the truth. What do you think? Are the Patriots’ defensive adjustments enough to slow down Buffalo, or will they fall short?
Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday night at Highmark Stadium. Let the debate begin—and don’t forget to share your thoughts in the comments!
